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Industry Reports

Deutsche Bank Reports Summaries

 

071130 Deutsche Bank Report - Dr. Paper's Weekly Wrap Up (11/30/07)

Deutsche Bank - Equity Research

 

* Bam!  AbitibiBowater announced the closure of 1MM/mtons of newsprint (600K) & commercial printing papers (400K) in Q1.   ABH

suggested that Phase 2 review could lead to further closures.  We think the closures will “ice” a Q1 $60/mton newsprint hike.

 

* Temple-Inland rolled out strategy for “New TIN” as well as more pro forma financials.  $10.25/share cash dividend is set for December and spin-offs of Forestar & Guaranty are slated for 12/28/07.  Roadshow convinced us that TIN is likely to remain independent & will grow in disciplined fashion.

 

* Why does Rock-Tenn trade at $26.38?   At these levels, RKT is trading @ 6.3X '07E & 5.9X ‘08E on an EV/EBITDA and @ 13+% free cash yield.   Management is solid and focused.  One of our favorite packaging stocks.

 
 

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